Tropical Storm Erin has strengthened into a hurricane and remains on track to pass north-northeast of Saba as a Category 3 system on Saturday afternoon. Beginning Friday afternoon, the risk of thunderstorms will increase. Residents are advised to prepare for adverse weather conditions this weekend.
According to the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), Erin is forecast to pass approximately 180 miles (290 kilometers) north-northeast of Saba at around 1:00 p.m. on Saturday, August 16. The chance of experiencing tropical storm–force winds remains low, at 10 to 15 percent. Current forecasts indicate sustained winds at Force 6, with gusts between 40 and 45 miles per hour (60 to 75 kilometers per hour), accompanied by a high chance of strong thunderstorms. Sea conditions are expected to be moderate to rough with northeast swells.
Rainfall totals are estimated at 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 millimeters), and a small 5 percent risk of 4 to 6 inches (100 to 150 millimeters). Such rainfall could result in isolated flash floods, localized urban flooding, and possible landslides or mudslides. Due to potential weather impacts, access to Saba’s roads may be limited this weekend. Residents are encouraged to complete necessary shopping today.
Travel to and from Saba will not be possible on Saturday, August 16, and may remain uncertain in the following days. Winair has cancelled all flights to and from Saba on Saturday, August 16, and charter flights are also likely to be cancelled. The Makana Ferry Service has cancelled all routes on Saturday and Sunday. Residents with travel plans are advised to check their itineraries for changes.
The public is urged to remain alert, take precautionary measures, and ensure that homes and surroundings are secure. Residents should stay informed through official channels and check on neighbors, particularly those who may need assistance or have limited access to timely information. Authorities will continue to monitor Hurricane Erin closely and provide updates as conditions develop. For official guidance on hurricane preparedness, please visit: www.sabagov.nl/.../disaste.../hurricane-preparedness
